The other thing that it’s important to remember: Democrats’ House odds were pretty robust in part because they had a lot of potential opportunities and could afford to lose a few, even if the GOP overperformed in certain regions or types of races. That’s why they’re still the favorites: They can win the hard way instead of the easy way.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/?ex_cid=extra_banner
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